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Glossary of Risk Assessment Related Terms
February 1, 1994
This GLOSSARY contains definitions for risk assessment-related terms
used
in IRIS. It is meant to assist the user in understanding terms used by the U.S. EPA in risk assessment activities. These definitions are not all-encompassing, nor should they be construed to be "official" definitions. It is assumed that the user has some familiarity with risk assessment and health science. For terms that are not included in this GLOSSARY, the user should
refer to standard health science, biostatistical, and medical textbooks and dictionaries.
- Acceptable Daily Intake -- An estimate of the daily exposure dose that
is likely to be without deleterious effect even if continued exposure occurs
over a lifetime.
- Acute exposure -- One dose or multiple doses occurring within a short
time (24 hours or less).
- Acute hazard or toxicity -- see Health hazard.
- Added risk -- The difference between the cancer incidence under the exposure condition and the background incidence in the absence of exposure;
- AR = P(d) - P(O).
- Aerodynamic diameter -- Term used to describe particles with common
inertial properties to avoid the complications associated with the effects
of particle size, shape and physical density.
- Anecdotal data -- Data based on descriptions of individual cases rather than on controlled studies.
- Attributable risk -- The difference between risk of exhibiting a certain
adverse effect in the presence of a toxic substance and that risk in the absence of the substance.
- Benign -- Not malignant; remaining localized.
- Bioassay -- The determination of the potency (bioactivity) or concentration of a test substance by noting its effects in live animals or in isolated organ preparations, as compared with the effect of a standard preparation.
- Bioavailability -- The degree to which a drug or other substance becomes available to the target tissue after administration or exposure.
- Blood-to-air partition coefficient -- Ratio of concentrations for a given
chemical achieved between blood and air at equilibrium.
- Carcinogen -- An agent capable of inducing a cancer response.
- Carcinogenesis -- The origin or production of cancer, very likely a
series of steps. The carcinogenic event so modifies the genome and/or other
molecular control mechanisms in the target cells that these can give rise
to a population of altered cells.
- Case-control study -- An epidemiologic study that looks back in time
at the exposure history of individuals who have the health effect (cases) and at
a group who do not (controls), to ascertain whether they differ in proportion exposed to the chemical under investigation.
- Chronic effect -- An effect that is manifest after some time has elapsed from initial exposure. See also Health Hazard.
- Chronic exposure -- Multiple exposures occurring over an extended period of time, or a significant fraction of the animal's or the individual's life-time.
- Chronic hazard or toxicity -- see Health hazard.
- Chronic study -- A toxicity study designed to measure the (toxic) effects
of chronic exposure to a chemical.
- Cohort study -- An epidemiologic study that observes subjects in
differently exposed groups and compares the incidence of symptoms. Although
ordinarily prospective in nature, such a study is sometimes carried out
retro-
spectively, using historical data.
- Confounder -- A condition or variable that may be a factor in producing
the same response as the agent under study. The effects of such factors
may
be discerned through careful design and analysis.
- Control group -- A group of subjects observed in the absence of agent
exposure or, in the instance of a case/control study, in the absence of
an
adverse response.
- Core grade(s) -- Quality ratings, based on standard evaluation criteria
established by the Office of Pesticide Programs, given to toxicological
studies after submission by registrants.
- Critical effect -- The first adverse effect, or its known precursor,
that
occurs as the dose rate increases.
- Developmental toxicity -- The study of adverse effects on the developing
organism (including death, structural abnormality, altered growth, or func-
tional deficiency) resulting from exposure prior to conception (in either
parent), during prenatal development, or postnatally up to the time of sexual
maturation.
- Dose-response relationship -- A relationship between the amount of an
agent (either administered, absorbed, or believed to be effective) and changes
in certain aspects of the biological system (usually toxic effects),
apparently in response to that agent.
- Endpoint -- A response measure in a toxicity study.
Estimated exposure dose (EED) -- The measured or calculated dose to
which
humans are likely to be exposed considering exposure by all sources and
routes.
- Excess lifetime risk -- The additional or extra risk incurred over the
lifetime of an individual by exposure to a toxic substance.
- Extra risk -- The added risk to that portion of the population that
is not included in measurement of background tumor rate; ER(d) = [P(d) - P(O)]/
[1-P(O)].
- Extrapolation -- An estimation of a numerical value of an empirical
(measured) function at a point outside the range of data which were used
to
calibrate the function. The quantitative risk estimates for carcinogens
are
generally low-dose extrapolations based on observations made at higher doses.
Generally one has a measured dose and measured effect.
- Frank-effect level (FEL) -- Exposure level which produces unmistakable
adverse effects, such as irreversible functional impairment or mortality,
at a
statistically or biologically significant increase in frequency or severity
between an exposed population and its appropriate control.
- Gamma multi-hit model -- A dose-response model of the form
P(d) = Integral from 0 to d of {[a**k][s**(k-1)][exp(-as)]/G(u)}ds
where: G(u) = integral from 0 to infinity of [s**(u-1)][exp(-s)]ds
P(d) = the probability of cancer from a dose rate d
k = the number of hits necessary to induce the tumor
a = a constant
when k = 1, see the one-hit model.
- Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk Assessment -- U.S. EPA guidelines intended
to guide Agency evaluation of suspect carcinogens in line with statutory
pol-
icies and procedures. See FR 33992-34003, September 24, 1986.
- Guidelines for Exposure Assessment -- U.S. EPA guidelines intended to
guide Agency analysis of exposure assessment data in line with statutory
pol-
icies and procedures. See 51 FR 34042-34054, September 24, 1986.
- Guidelines for Health Assessment of Suspect Developmental Toxicants
--
U.S. EPA guidelines intended to guide Agency analysis of developmental
toxicity data in line with statutory policies and procedures. See 51 FR
34028-34040, September 24, 1986.
- Guidelines for the Health Risk Assessment of Chemical Mixtures -- U.S.
EPA
guidelines intended to guide Agency analysis of information relating to
health
effects data on chemical mixtures in line with statutory policies and proce-
dures. See 51 FR 34014-34025, September 24, 1986.
- Guidelines for Mutagenicity Risk Assessment -- U.S. EPA guidelines
intended to guide Agency analysis of mutagenicity data as related to heritable
mutagenic risks, in line with statutory policies and procedures. See 51
FR
34006-34012, September 24, 1986.
- Health Advisory -- An estimate of acceptable drinking water levels for
a
chemical substance based on health effects information; a Health Advisory
is
not a legally enforceable Federal standard, but serves as technical guidance
to assist Federal, state, and local officials.
- Health hazard (types of) --
- Acute toxicity: The older term used to describe immediate toxicty. Its
former use was associated with toxic effects that were severe (e.g.,
mortality) in contrast to the term "subacute toxicity" that was
associated
with toxic effects that were less severe. The term "acute toxicity"
is often
confused with that of acute exposure.
- Allergic reaction: Adverse reaction to a chemical resulting from previous
sensitization to that chemical or to a structurally similar one.
- Chronic toxicity: The older term used to describe delayed toxicity.
However, the term "chronic toxicity" also refers to effects that
persist over
a long period of time whether or not they occur immediately or are delayed.
The term "chronic toxicity" is often confused with that of chronic
exposure.
- Idiosyncratic reaction: A genetically determined abnormal reactivity
to a
chemical.
- Immediate versus delayed toxicity: Immediate effects occur or develop
rapidly after a single administration of a substance, while delayed effects
are those that occur after the lapse of some time. These effects have also
been referred to as acute and chronic, respectively.
- Reversible versus irreversible toxicity: Reversible toxic effects are
those
that can be repaired, usually by a specific tissue's ability to regenerate
or
mend itself after chemical exposure, while irreversible toxic effects are
those that cannot be repaired.
- Local versus systemic toxicity: Local effects refer to those that occur
at
the site of first contact between the biological system and the toxicant;
systemic effects are those that are elicited after absorption and distribution
of the toxicant from its entry point to a distant site.
- Human equivalent concentration -- Exposure concentration for humans
that
has been adjusted for dosimetric differences between experimental animal
species and humans to be equivalent to the exposure concentration associated
with observed effects in the experimental animal species. If occupational
human exposures are used for extrapolation, the human equivalent concentration
represents the equivalent human exposure concentration adjusted to a
continuous basis.
- Human equivalent dose -- The human dose of an agent that is believed
to
induce the same magnitude of toxic effect as that which the known animal
dose
has induced.
- Incidence -- The number of new cases of a disease within a specified
period of time.
- Incidence rate -- The ratio of the number of new cases over a period
of
time to the population at risk.
- Individual risk -- The probability that an individual person will experi-
ence an adverse effect. This is identical to population risk unless specific
population subgroups can be identified that have different (higher or lower)
risks.
- Initiation -- The ability of an agent to induce a change in a tissue
which
leads to the induction of tumors after a second agent, called a promoter,
is
administered to the tissue repeatedly. See also Promoter.
- Interspecies dose conversion -- The process of extrapolating from animal
doses to equivalent human doses.
- Latency period -- The time between the initial induction of a health
effect and the manifestation (or detection) of the health effect; crudely
estimated as the time (or some fraction of the time) from first exposure
to
detection of the effect.
- Limited evidence -- According to the U.S. EPA's Guidelines for Carcinogen
Risk Assessment, limited evidence is a collection of facts and accepted
scien-
tific inferences which suggests that the agent may be causing an effect,
but
this suggestion is not strong enough to be considered established fact.
- Linearized multistage procedure -- The modified form of the multistage
model (see Multistage Model). The constant q1 is forced to be positive
(>0)
in the estimation algorithm and is also the slope of the dose-response curve
at low doses. The upper confidence limit of q1 (called q1*) is called the
slope factor.
- Logit model -- A dose-response model of the form
P(d) = 1/[1 + exp -(a + b log d)]
where P(d) is the probability of toxic effects from a continuous dose rate
d,
and a and b are constants.
- Lowest-observed-adverse-effect level (LOAEL) -- The lowest exposure
level
at which there are statistically or biologically significant increases in
frequency or severity of adverse effects between the exposed population
and
its appropriate control group.
- Lowest-effect level (LEL) -- Same as LOAEL.
- Malignant -- Tending to become progressively worse and to result in
death
if not treated; having the properties of anaplasia, invasiveness, and metasta-
sis.
- Margin of Exposure (MOE) -- The ratio of the no observed adverse effect
level (NOAEL) to the estimated exposure dose (EED).
- Margin of Safety (MOS) -- The older term used to describe the margin
of
exposure.
- Mass median aerodynamic diameter (MMAD) -- Mass median of the distribution
of mass with respect to aerodynamic diameter.
- Metastasis -- The transfer of disease from one organ or part to another
not directly connected with it; adj., metastatic.
- Model -- A mathematical function with parameters which can be adjusted
so
that the function closely describes a set of empirical data. A "mathematical"
or "mechanistic" model is usually based on biological or physical
mechanisms,
and has model parameters that have real world interpretation. In contrast,
"statistical" or "empirical" models are curve-fitting
to data where the math
function used is selected for its numerical properties. Extrapolation from
mechanistic models (e.g., pharmacokinetic equations) usually carries higher
confidence than extrapolation using empirical models (e.g., logit).
- Modifying factor (MF) -- An uncertainty factor which is greater than
zero
and less than or equal to 10; the magnitude of the MF depends upon the profes-
sional assessment of scientific uncertainties of the study and database
not
explicitly treated with the standard uncertainty factors (e.g., the complete-
ness of the overall data base and the number of species tested); the default
value for the MF is 1.
- Multistage model -- A dose-response model often expressed in the form
P(d) = 1 - exp {-[q(0) + q(1)d + q(2)d**2 + ... + q(k)d**k]}
where P(d) is the probability of cancer from a continuous dose rate d, the
q(i) are the constants, and k is the number of dose groups (or, if less,
k is
the number of biological stages believed to be required in the carcinogenesis
process). Under the multistage model, it is assumed that cancer is initiated
by cell mutations in a finite series of steps. A one-stage model is equiva-
lent to a one-hit model.
- No data -- According to the U.S. EPA Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk
Assessment, "no data" describes a category of human and animal
evidence in
which no studies are available to permit one to draw conclusions as to the
induction of a carcinogenic effect.
- No evidence of carcinogenicity -- According to the U.S. EPA Guidelines
for
Carcinogen Risk Assessment, a situation in which there is no increased inci-
dence of neoplasms in at least two well-designed and well-conducted animal
studies of adequate power and dose in different species.
- No-observed-adverse-effect level (NOAEL) -- An exposure level at which
there are no statistically or biologically significant increases in the
frequency or severity of adverse effects between the exposed population
and
its appropriate control; some effects may be produced at this level, but
they
are not considered as adverse, nor precursors to adverse effects. In an
experiment with several NOAELs, the regulatory focus is primarily on the
highest one, leading to the common usage of the term NOAEL as the highest
exposure without adverse effect.
- No-observed-effect level (NOEL) -- An exposure level at which there
are no
statistically or biologically significant increases in the frequency or
severity of any effect between the exposed population and its appropriate
control.
- One-hit model -- A dose-response model of the form
P(d) = a - exp(-b d)
where P(d) is the probability of cancer from a continuous dose rate d, and
b
is a constant. The one-hit model is based on the concept that a tumor can
be
induced after a single susceptible target or receptor has been exposed to
a
single effective dose unit of a substance.
- Organoleptic -- Affecting or involving a sense organ as of taste, smell,
or sight.
- Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) model -- Physiologically
based compartmental model used to quantitatively describe pharmacokinetic
behavior.
- Principal study -- The study that contributes most significantly to
the
qualitative and quantitative risk assessment.
- Probit model -- A dose-response model of the form
P(d) = 0.4{integral from minus infinity to [log(d - u)]/s of [exp-(y**2)/2]dy}
where P(d) is the probability of cancer from a continuous dose rate d, and
u
and s are constants.
- Promoter -- In studies of skin cancer in mice, an agent which results
in
an increase in cancer induction when administered after the animal has been
exposed to an initiator, which is generally given at a dose which would
not
result in tumor induction if given alone. A cocarcinogen differs from a
pro-
moter in that it is administered at the same time as the initiator. Cocarcin-
ogens and promoters do not usually induce tumors when administered separately.
Complete carcinogens act as both initiator and promoter. Some known promoters
also have weak tumorigenic activity, and some also are initiators.
Carcinogens may act as promoters in some tissue sites and as initiators
in
others.
- Proportionate mortality ratio (PMR) -- The number of deaths from a spe-
cific cause and in a specific period of time per 100 deaths in the same
time
period.
- Prospective study -- A study in which subjects are followed forward
in
time from initiation of the study. This is often called a longitudinal
or
cohort study.
- q1* -- Upper bound on the slope of the low-dose linearized multistage
procedure.
- Reference Concentration (RfC) -- An estimate (with uncertainty spanning
perhaps an order of magnitude) of a continuous inhalation exposure to the
human population (including sensitive subgroups) that is likely to be without
an appreciable risk of deleterious noncancer effects during a lifetime.
- Reference Dose (RfD) -- An estimate (with uncertainty spanning perhaps
an
order of magnitude) of a daily exposure to the human population (including
sensitive subgroups) that is likely to be without an appreciable risk of
deleterious effects during a lifetime.
- Regional deposited dose (RDD) -- The deposited dose of particles
calculated for the region of interest as related to the observed effect.
For
respiratory effects of particles, the deposited dose is adjusted for
ventilatory volumes and the surface area of the respiratory region effected
(mg/min-sq.cm). For extrarespiratory effects of particles, the deposited
dose
in the total respiratory system is adjusted for ventilatory volumes and
body
weight (mg/min-kg).
- Regional deposited dose ratio (RDDR) -- The ratio of the regional
deposited dose calculated for a given exposure in the animal species of
interest to the regional deposited dose of the same exposure in a human.
This
ratio is used to adjust the exposure effect level for interspecies dosimetric
differences to derive a human equivalent concentration for particles.
- Regional gas dose (RGD) -- The gas dose calculated for the region of
interest as related to the observed effect for respiratory effects. The
deposited dose is adjusted for ventilatory volumes and the surface area
of the
respiratory region effected (mg/min-sq.cm).
- Regional gas dose ratio (RGDR) -- The ratio of the regional gas dose
calculated for a given exposure in the animal species of interest to the
regional gas dose of the same exposure in humans. This ratio is used to
adjust the exposure effect level for interspecies dosimetric differences
to
derive a human equivalent concentration for gases with respiratory effects.
- Registration (of a pesticide) -- Under FIFRA and its amendments, new
pesticide products cannot be sold unless they are registered with the U.S.
EPA. Registration involves a comprehensive evaluation of risks and benefits
based on all relevant data.
- Regulatory dose (RgD) -- The daily exposure to the human population
reflected in the final risk management decision; it is entirely possible
and
appropriate that a chemical with a specific RfD may be regulated under differ-
ent statutes and situations through the use of different RgDs.
- Relative risk (sometimes referred to as risk ratio) -- The ratio of
incidence or risk among exposed individuals to incidence or risk among
nonexposed individuals.
- Reportable quantity -- The quantity of a hazardous substance that is
con-
sidered reportable under CERCLA. Reportable quantities are: (1) one pound,
or (2) for selected substances, an amount established by regulation either
under CERCLA or under Section 311 of the Clean Water Act. Quantities are
measured over a 24-hour period.
- Risk -- The probability of injury, disease, or death under specific
cir-
cumstances. In quantitative terms, risk is expressed in values ranging
from
zero (representing the certainty that harm will not occur) to one
(representing the certainty that harm will occur). The following are examples
showing the manner in which risk is expressed in IRIS: E-4 = a risk of
1/10,000; E-5 = a risk of 1/100,000; E-6 = a risk of 1/1,000,000. Similarly,
1.3E-3 = a risk of 1.3/1000 = 1/770; 8E-3 = a risk of 1/125; and 1.2E-5
= a
risk of 1/83,000.
- Risk assessment -- The determination of the kind and degree of hazard
posed by an agent, the extent to which a particular group of people has
been
or may be exposed to the agent, and the present or potential health risk
that
exists due to the agent.
- Risk management -- A decisionmaking process that entails considerations
of
political, social, economic, and engineering information with risk-related
information to develop, analyze, and compare regulatory options and to select
the appropriate regulatory response to a potential chronic health hazard.
- Safety Factor -- See Uncertainty Factor.
Short-term exposure -- Multiple or continuous exposures occurring over
a
week or so.
- Slope Factor -- The slope of the dose-response curve in the low-dose
region. When low-dose linearity cannot be assumed, the slope factor is
the
slope of the straight line from 0 dose (and 0 excess risk) to the dose at
1%
excess risk. An upper bound on this slope is usually used instead of the
slope itself. The units of the slope factor are usually expressed as
1/(mg/kg-day).
- Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) -- The ratio of observed deaths to
expected deaths.
- Subchronic exposure -- Multiple or continuous exposures occurring usually
over 3 months.
- Subchronic study -- A toxicity study designed to measure effects from
sub-
chronic exposure to a chemical.
- Sufficient evidence -- According to the U.S. EPA's Guidelines for Carcin-
ogen Risk Assessment, sufficient evidence is a collection of facts and scien-
tific references which is definitive enough to establish that the adverse
effect is caused by the agent in question.
- Superfund -- Federal authority, established by the Comprehensive Environ-
mental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA) in 1980, to respond
directly to releases or threatened releases of hazardous substances that
may
endanger health or welfare.
- Supporting studies -- Those studies that contain information that is
useful for providing insight and support for the conclusions.
- Systemic effects -- Systemic effects are those that require absorption
and
distribution of the toxicant to a site distant from its entry point, at
which
point effects are produced. Most chemicals that produce systemic toxicity
do
not cause a similar degree of toxicity in all organs, but usually demonstrate
major toxicity to one or two organs. These are referred to as the target
organs of toxicity for that chemical.
- Systemic toxicity -- See Systemic effects.
- Target organ of toxicity -- See Systemic effects.
- Threshold -- The dose or exposure below which a significant adverse
effect
is not expected. Carcinogens are thought to be non-threshold chemicals,
to
which no exposure can be presumed to be without some risk of adverse effect.
- Threshold Limit Values (TLVs) -- Recommended guidelines for occupational
exposure to airborne contaminants published by the American Conference of
Governmental Industrial Hygienists (ACGIH). The TLVs represent the average
concentration (in mg/cu.m) for an 8-hour workday and a 40-hour work week
to
which nearly all workers may be repeatedly exposed, day after day, without
adverse effect.
- Tumor progression -- The sequence of changes in which a tumor develops
from a microscopic lesion to a malignant stage.
- Uncertainty factor -- One of several, generally 10-fold factors, used
in
operationally deriving the Reference Dose (RfD) from experimental data.
UFs
are intended to account for (1) the variation in sensitivity among the members
of the human population; (2) the uncertainty in extrapolating animal data
to
the case of humans; (3) the uncertainty in extrapolating from data obtained
in
a study that is of less-than-lifetime exposure; and (4) the uncertainty
in
using LOAEL data rather than NOAEL data.
- Unit Risk -- The upper-bound excess lifetime cancer risk estimated to
result from continuous exposure to an agent at a concentration of 1 ug/L
in water, or 1 ug/cu.m in air.
- Upper bound -- An estimate of the plausible upper limit to the true
value
of the quantity. This is usually not a statistical confidence limit.
- Weibull model -- A dose-response model of the form
P(d) = 1 - exp [-b(d**m)]
where P(d) is the probability of cancer due to continuous dose rate d, and
b
and m are constants.
- Weight-of-evidence for carcinogenicity -- The extent to which the avail-
able biomedical data support the hypothesis that a substance causes cancer
in
humans.
Last updated: 20 February 1998
URL: http:/www.epa.gov/iris/GLOSSARY.HTM
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